Kecskemeti TE 0-1 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Mar 2024

Kecskemeti TE
0-1 HT 0-1
MOL Fehervar
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Kecskemeti TE vs MOL Fehervar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.61 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kecskemeti TE v MOL Fehervar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -21%
1.83/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.72
+21% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
14.3 Crosses 17.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kecskemeti TE vs MOL Fehervar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
3W-1D-2L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.98 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-3 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
13.08.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
22.04.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-2 HT 0-2 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
29.01.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-1 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
31.08.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-1 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
24.05.2015 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC

Kecskemeti TE 0-1 MOL Fehervar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
0-1
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.02 xG 0.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
260 Passes 166
67% Pass Accuracy 60%
33 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar squeezed past Kecskemeti TE 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day MOL Fehervar made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 59% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 41%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kecskemeti TE.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.33 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs MOL Fehervar?

Kecskemeti TE 0-1 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 40%, draw 26%, MOL Fehervar 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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