Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
13%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.96/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.56
-13% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.8 Crosses 12.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
3W-0D-3L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 304
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
06.08.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 2-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
01.05.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-3 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
04.02.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-2 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
03.10.2021 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
13.03.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2-2
AWAY MTK Budapest
0.89 xG 1.13
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
262 Passes 526
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Zalaegerszegi TE at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 37% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 63%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.89 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.50 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?

Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 43%, draw 24%, MTK Budapest 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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