MOL Fehervar 0-2 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 69%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.04/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.91
+100% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 82%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
17.0 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.62 xG 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
270 Passes 452
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
06.08.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-5 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
02.04.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-2 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
06.11.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 2-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
14.08.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 4-0 HT 3-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
13.03.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-2 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
0-2
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.46 xG 1.35
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
228 Passes 413
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros got the better of MOL Fehervar 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 38% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 62%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.46 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MOL Fehervar and 2.50 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Ferencvaros?

MOL Fehervar 0-2 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 22%, draw 24%, Ferencvaros 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
10 Mar 2024
15:00 Paksi SE vs Debrecen Analysis →
22:00 Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest Analysis →