Queretaro 1-2 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Nov 2024

Queretaro
1-2 HT 0-2
FC Juarez
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Queretaro vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queretaro v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.45/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.80
-2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.1 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Queretaro vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.42 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
225 Passes 364
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
06.11.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-3 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
20.03.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
16.07.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 1-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
01.05.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
09.10.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK

Queretaro 1-2 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
1-2
AWAY FC Juarez
0.89 xG 0.63
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
386 Passes 201
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez edged past Queretaro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Juarez found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Queretaro had 64% of the ball to FC Juarez's 36%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 0.89 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Queretaro and 0.50 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs FC Juarez?

Queretaro 1-2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 38%, draw 26%, FC Juarez 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queretaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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