Tijuana 0-3 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Nov 2024

Tijuana
0-3 HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 23% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tijuana v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.24/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.98
+11% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +38%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 83%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
14.8 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Tijuana vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.70 xG 1.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
02.11.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
21.01.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
04.04.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
26.07.2021 Tijuana Tijuana 1-2 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK

Tijuana 0-3 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
0-3
AWAY Tigres UANL
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
531 Passes 227
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL swept aside Tijuana 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tijuana had 66% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 34%, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tijuana and 1.67 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?

Tijuana 0-3 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 32%, draw 25%, Tigres UANL 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ BTTS Yes
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