Gzira United 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-16.8pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.2pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.83/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.01
+0% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
3-1
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United got the better of Zabbar St. Patrick 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gzira United had 51% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 49%, shots finished 10-4.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Gzira United 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 53%, draw 25%, Zabbar St. Patrick 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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