Melita 1-2 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

Melita
1-2 HT 1-2
Mosta
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2024/2025

Melita vs Mosta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.8pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.3pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melita v Mosta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melita EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.00/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.76
+107% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

Melita vs Mosta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melita
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mosta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
15.01.2023 Melita 0-3 HT 0-2 Mosta Mosta MLTAK

Melita 1-2 Mosta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melita
1-2
AWAY Mosta
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melita vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta nicked a narrow win over Melita 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mosta as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melita had 48% of the ball to Mosta's 52%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Melita vs Mosta?

Melita 1-2 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melita vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mosta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Melita 25%, draw 34%, Mosta 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mosta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mosta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
2 Nov 2024
17:00 Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC Analysis →
19:30 Gzira United vs Zabbar St. Patrick Analysis →
21:00 Birkirkara vs Naxxar Lions Analysis →