Birkirkara 1-0 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 18%
-27% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.11/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.30
-28% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-2 HT 0-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
26.11.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 2-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara squeezed past Naxxar Lions 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naxxar Lions led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Birkirkara and 2.00 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Naxxar Lions?

Birkirkara 1-0 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 53%, draw 23%, Naxxar Lions 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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