Milsami 0-4 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.75
Draw
20%
3.18
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
23%
+11.3pp
20%
Draw
28%
-7.7pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 53%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.74/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.76
-28% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
230 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Sheriff
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
04.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
31.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
05.11.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
27.08.2023 Milsami Milsami 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
20.05.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 3-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
0-4
AWAY FC Sheriff
42% Ball Possession 58%
2 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milsami vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff cruised past Milsami 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Milsami had 42% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 58%, shots finished 2-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Milsami and 1.50 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Milsami vs FC Sheriff?

Milsami 0-4 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - National League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Milsami 35%, draw 20%, FC Sheriff 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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