Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-2 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-15.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 18%
-35% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.65/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.48
-48% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
30.6 Crosses 12.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.44
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
203 Passes 303
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
02.09.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-1 HT 0-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
17.04.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
21.10.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-2 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
19.06.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
28.08.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
2-2
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.83 xG 0.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
144 Passes 225
60% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlos Manucci Trujillo and Alianza Atletico shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carlos Manucci Trujillo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 45% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 55%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.83 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carlos Manucci Trujillo and 0.83 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Alianza Atletico?

Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-2 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlos Manucci Trujillo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 47%, draw 26%, Alianza Atletico 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carlos Manucci Trujillo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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