Atletico Grau 3-1 Cesar Vallejo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.5pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.09/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.97
+13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.7 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.54 xG 1.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
272 Passes 235
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
04.09.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 5-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
15.04.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
07.08.2022 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
13.03.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 1-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
08.02.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 1-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
3-1
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.82 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
344 Passes 255
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Cesar Vallejo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau saw off Cesar Vallejo 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; Atletico Grau found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 56% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.82 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesar Vallejo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.67 for Cesar Vallejo.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Cesar Vallejo?

Atletico Grau 3-1 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Cesar Vallejo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 40%, draw 34%, Cesar Vallejo 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Grau) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Under 2.5
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