Cesar Vallejo 2-1 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
15%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.83/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.67
+43% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.1 Crosses 15.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesar Vallejo
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.78 xG 1.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
220 Passes 283
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 5-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
15.04.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
07.08.2022 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
13.03.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 1-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
08.02.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 1-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesar Vallejo
2-1
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.14 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 Passes 240
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cesar Vallejo vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesar Vallejo nicked a narrow win over Atletico Grau 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cesar Vallejo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 53% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 47%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.14 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Cesar Vallejo and 0.80 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Atletico Grau?

Cesar Vallejo 2-1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 38%, draw 31%, Atletico Grau 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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