Universitario 4-0 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.11
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.17
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
84%
-17.3pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.9pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.7pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.81/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.70
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -39%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
389 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
21.2 Crosses 29.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
4-0
AWAY Cultural San
2.25 xG 0.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
269 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario swept aside Cultural San 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Universitario had 47% of the ball to Cultural San's 53%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.25 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Cultural San?

Universitario 4-0 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Universitario 67%, draw 19%, Cultural San 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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