Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Garcilaso v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Melgar
PER
2-4
HT 1-3
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
Deportivo Garcilaso 1-3 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar beat Deportivo Garcilaso 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 39% of the ball to Melgar's 61%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.07 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 2.00 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar?
Deportivo Garcilaso 1-3 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 26%, draw 28%, Melgar 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.