Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 66%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
0.46/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.05
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.0 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.28 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
245 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2018 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-2 HT 0-2 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
09.06.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
11.04.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
26.02.2018 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
10.09.2017 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-2 HT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
04.06.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 4-2 HT 2-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.59 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
183 Passes 136
65% Pass Accuracy 57%
8 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal edged past Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 52% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 48%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.59 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.83 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal?

Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 29%, draw 22%, Sporting Cristal 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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