Cusco FC 3-0 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.38/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.18
+37% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.1 Crosses 15.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
221 Passes 391
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
12.03.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
17.09.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
30.03.2021 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-2 HT 1-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
16.11.2020 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
29.08.2020 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 0-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
3-0
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.79 xG 0.53
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 10
261 Passes 331
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC cruised past Alianza Lima 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Cusco FC made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Cusco FC had 44% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 56%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.79 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cusco FC and 1.17 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima?

Cusco FC 3-0 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 39%, draw 30%, Alianza Lima 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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