UTC Cajamarca 1-1 Sport Huancayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.72/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.54
+18% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
23.8 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sport Huancayo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.04 xG 1.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
249 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
30.06.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
12.05.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 5-1 HT 2-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
14.08.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 4-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
21.03.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 3-4 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
31.07.2021 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
1-1
AWAY Sport Huancayo
0.72 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
224 Passes 246
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca and Sport Huancayo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was UTC Cajamarca at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 48% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 52%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.72 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Huancayo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 2.33 for Sport Huancayo.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo?

UTC Cajamarca 1-1 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 50%, draw 26%, Sport Huancayo 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UTC Cajamarca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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