Amarante 1-0 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.4pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 23%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.51/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.01
-65% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-1 HT 0-1 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-0
AWAY Sanjoanense
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante nicked a narrow win over Sanjoanense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Amarante had 52% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 48%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Sanjoanense?

Amarante 1-0 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Amarante 43%, draw 33%, Sanjoanense 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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