Vilaverdense 0-3 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 58%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
249 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fafe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
15.01.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 3-2 HT 2-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
0-3
AWAY Fafe
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe cruised past Vilaverdense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 54% of the ball to Fafe's 46%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vilaverdense and 1.50 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Fafe?

Vilaverdense 0-3 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 30%, draw 19%, Fafe 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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