Fafe 1-0 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.53
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
78%
-13.9pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.3pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vilaverdense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 3-2 HT 2-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-0
AWAY Vilaverdense
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe nicked a narrow win over Vilaverdense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fafe as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Fafe had 64% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 36%, shots finished 18-3.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Vilaverdense?

Fafe 1-0 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Fafe 64%, draw 19%, Vilaverdense 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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