Sao Joao Ver vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Joao Ver v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Sao Joao Ver 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Joao Ver edged past Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Lusitania FC Lourosa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 30% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 70%, shots finished 5-14.
What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Sao Joao Ver 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 32%, draw 26%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.