Atletico CP 0-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 21%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.99/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.49
+32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
03.09.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 3-0 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
0-1
AWAY Dezembro
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro nicked a narrow win over Atletico CP 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico CP at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Atletico CP had 45% of the ball to Dezembro's 55%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Atletico CP and 0.50 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Dezembro?

Atletico CP 0-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 54%, draw 26%, Dezembro 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico CP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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