Sanjoanense 0-1 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
0-1
AWAY Amarante
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante squeezed past Sanjoanense 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 55% of the ball to Amarante's 45%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Amarante?

Sanjoanense 0-1 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 31%, draw 28%, Amarante 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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