Sporting Covilha 2-3 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.23
-21% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2023 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
13.08.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 3-0 HT 3-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
12.04.2015 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
02.03.2014 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
2-3
AWAY Sporting CP II
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II edged past Sporting Covilha 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 48% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 52%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Sporting Covilha and 0.75 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Sporting CP II?

Sporting Covilha 2-3 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 31%, draw 27%, Sporting CP II 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5
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