Anadia 0-2 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 Aug 2024

Anadia
0-2 HT 0-2
Varzim
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Anadia vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anadia v Varzim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 42%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.93/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.22
-27% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6

Anadia vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Varzim
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 1-1 Anadia Anadia POR3
01.10.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
14.01.2023 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
17.12.2019 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POK

Anadia 0-2 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
0-2
AWAY Varzim
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim got the better of Anadia 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Varzim found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Anadia had 56% of the ball to Varzim's 44%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Anadia and 1.25 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Varzim?

Anadia 0-2 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Anadia 39%, draw 28%, Varzim 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Anadia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anadia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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