Sivasspor 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

Sivasspor
2-1 HT 0-1
Çaykur Rizespor
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Sivasspor vs Çaykur Rizespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.78
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.57
X/2
13%
5.55
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
14%
3.77
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sivasspor v Çaykur Rizespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.42
-16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.3 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Sivasspor vs Çaykur Rizespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
329 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
23.09.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
16.05.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-2 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
22.12.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.02.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.10.2020 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL

Sivasspor 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
2-1
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.55 xG 1.92
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
226 Passes 376
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor nicked a narrow win over Çaykur Rizespor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sivasspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 39% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 61%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.55 to 1.92 — on chances, Çaykur Rizespor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sivasspor and 0.83 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Sivasspor 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 36%, draw 29%, Çaykur Rizespor 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✗ Under 2.5
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