Beşiktaş 1-3 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.96
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
19%
4.03
X/2
6%
10.75
X/X
11%
6.59
2/1
9%
19.75
2/2
8%
7.41
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +27%
1.89/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.70
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.3 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.78 xG 1.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
392 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
05.01.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-3 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
03.06.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-5 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
07.01.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
25.04.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-3 HT 0-2 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
03.12.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-1 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-3
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.49 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
336 Passes 250
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa beat Beşiktaş 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 55% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 45%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.06 — on chances, Beşiktaş could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Beşiktaş and 2.00 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa?

Beşiktaş 1-3 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 54%, draw 24%, Kasımpaşa 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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