Danubio 1-0 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.46/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.07
+4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
08.07.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-3 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
28.04.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 3-5 HT 1-2 Danubio Danubio URU
16.03.2014 Danubio Danubio 3-1 HT 2-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-0
AWAY Miramar Misiones
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio edged past Miramar Misiones 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Danubio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Danubio had 56% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 44%, shots finished 14-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Danubio and 2.00 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Miramar Misiones?

Danubio 1-0 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Danubio 46%, draw 28%, Miramar Misiones 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
2 Nov 2024
01:00 Deportivo Maldonado vs Rampla Juniors Analysis →