Yunnan Yukun 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.95
1/2
4%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
14%
5.55
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
6.97
X/X
8%
5.88
2/1
5%
21.5
2/2
17%
4.2
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · X/2 at 6.97 — our 14% vs market 10.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.5pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 36%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.34/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.33
+52% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.2 Crosses 14.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.85 xG 1.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
217 Passes 251
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 5-1 HT 2-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
14.06.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
06.04.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.35 xG 0.32
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
164 Passes 348
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 36% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 64%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.35 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yunnan Yukun and 1.67 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Yunnan Yukun 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 45%, draw 21%, Qingdao Jonoon 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
2 Nov 2025
10:30 Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Analysis →