Yunnan Yukun 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.21
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
17%
4.26
X/2
9%
9.77
X/X
11%
5.1
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
14%
7.88
2/X
7%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.14 xG 0.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
270 Passes 191
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Jonoon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 57% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 43%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.14 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Yunnan Yukun's control.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Yunnan Yukun 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 45%, draw 26%, Qingdao Jonoon 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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