Changchun YaTai 1-2 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
6.34
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
19.95
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
8%
9.33
X/2
12%
4.73
X/X
13%
6.26
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.24
2/X
4%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.95 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.1pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.06/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.87
-29% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
14.0 Crosses 24.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.93 xG 1.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
283 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-2 HT 1-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
01.03.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-2 HT 3-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
20.10.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-3 HT 0-3 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
29.06.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-1 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
06.07.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
16.06.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
1-2
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.84 xG 3.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
254 Passes 331
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 47
23 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan edged past Changchun YaTai 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 46% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 54%, shots finished 14-25, expected goals 0.84 to 3.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shandong Taishan's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Changchun YaTai and 3.17 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Shandong Taishan?

Changchun YaTai 1-2 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 29%, draw 26%, Shandong Taishan 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5
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