Changchun YaTai 2-2 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 26% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.16
1/2
5%
22.7
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
20%
7.61
X/2
12%
4.68
X/X
6%
5.21
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.62
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
27%
+12.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.29/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.90
-16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
16.1 Crosses 21.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.67 xG 1.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
283 Passes 433
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-2 HT 3-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
20.10.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-3 HT 0-3 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
29.06.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-1 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
06.07.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
16.06.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
04.01.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
2-2
AWAY Shandong Taishan
2.37 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
271 Passes 203
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai and Shandong Taishan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 55% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 45%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.37 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Changchun YaTai and 3.00 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Shandong Taishan?

Changchun YaTai 2-2 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 40%, draw 23%, Shandong Taishan 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Changchun YaTai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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