Beijing Guoan 4-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.87
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.54
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.75
X/1
20%
3.63
X/2
9%
17.5
X/X
13%
8.4
2/1
4%
20.05
2/2
6%
12.35
2/X
5%
20.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.3pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -11%
1.90/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.41
+9% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
20.5 Crosses 10.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.73 xG 1.06
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
552 Passes 237
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
26.08.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-5 HT 0-3 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
23.05.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 6-2 HT 3-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
25.06.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
05.06.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
28.09.2020 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 4-0 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
4-0
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2.26 xG 0.24
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
572 Passes 248
92% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan swept aside Cangzhou Mighty Lions 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 66% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 34%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.26 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.00 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Beijing Guoan 4-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 56%, draw 23%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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