Shanghai Port 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.41
1/2
6%
23.3
1/X
11%
12.1
X/1
11%
7.07
X/2
13%
5.64
X/X
9%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.09
2/X
6%
11.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 45%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.17/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.21
-29% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
23.5 Crosses 18.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.21 xG 1.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
301 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-3 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
25.09.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
17.08.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
27.04.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
25.02.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
29.07.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 0-5 HT 0-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
1-1
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
0.95 xG 1.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 10
261 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port and Shanghai Shenhua shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 47% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 53%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.95 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.67 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Shanghai Port 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 40%, draw 26%, Shanghai Shenhua 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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