Shanghai Port 3-2 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.21
Over 2.5
40%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
18%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
8.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.47 — our 33% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.37
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.51
X/2
7%
8.62
X/X
12%
5.4
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
17%
5.86
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
51%
-14.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.4pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 28%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.48
-100% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
399 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
27.04.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
25.02.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
29.07.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 0-5 HT 0-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
29.06.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port edged past Shanghai Shenhua 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Shanghai Port found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.17 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Shanghai Port 3-2 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 36%, draw 29%, Shanghai Shenhua 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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