Qingdao Jonoon 5-1 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.56
No
35%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
9.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.69
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
9%
5.87
X/2
12%
5.72
X/X
15%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.55
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+5.4pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 40%
+18% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.18/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.31
+10% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
19.1 Crosses 19.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.80 xG 2.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
202 Passes 224
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
06.04.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
5-1
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
4.37 xG 1.34
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
351 Passes 203
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon swept aside Yunnan Yukun 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Qingdao Jonoon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 60% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 40%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 4.37 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yunnan Yukun led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 0.50 for Yunnan Yukun.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Yunnan Yukun?

Qingdao Jonoon 5-1 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 38%, draw 27%, Yunnan Yukun 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
9 Aug 2025
14:00 Shandong Taishan vs Changchun YaTai Analysis →
14:35 Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai Port Analysis →