Shandong Taishan 2-1 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.28
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.98
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.09
2-3 Goals
35%
2.2
4-5 Goals
33%
2.33
6+ Goals
15%
4.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.41
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
20.7
X/1
18%
4.08
X/2
3%
20.85
X/X
5%
10.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
18.5
2/2
3%
15.95
2/X
4%
23.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.5 — our 14% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
74%
+4.5pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.9pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-1.5pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
2.30/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.66
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
25.1 Crosses 16.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.88 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
26.06.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-2 HT 1-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
01.03.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-2 HT 3-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
20.10.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-3 HT 0-3 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
29.06.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-1 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
06.07.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
2-1
AWAY Changchun YaTai
0.79 xG 1.26
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
483 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan edged past Changchun YaTai 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 60% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 40%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 0.79 to 1.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Changchun YaTai.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.17 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Changchun YaTai?

Shandong Taishan 2-1 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 78%, draw 13%, Changchun YaTai 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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