Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.96
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
6.61
2-3 Goals
36%
2.14
4-5 Goals
33%
2.37
6+ Goals
16%
4.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
2.07
1/2
4%
33.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.6
X/1
8%
4.72
X/2
8%
9.79
X/X
7%
7.33
2/1
5%
17.6
2/2
11%
6.26
2/X
3%
14.65
Value flag · 1/X at 13.6 — our 12% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.5pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.1pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.86/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.98
+43% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +61%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.7 Crosses 19.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shanghai Port
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.56 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
328 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-3 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
06.04.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
07.02.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-3 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
25.09.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
17.08.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
27.04.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1-2
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.71 xG 0.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
357 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port edged past Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shanghai Shenhua at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 54% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 46%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.71 to 0.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shanghai Shenhua.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.67 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai Port?

Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 55%, draw 22%, Shanghai Port 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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