Cordoba 2-0 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.93
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.77
6+
10%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.93 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.6
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.5
X/2
9%
8.04
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
9%
6.38
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.87/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.70
+26% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +80%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
23.5 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Ceuta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 1-1 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS3
12.11.2023 Cordoba Cordoba 3-3 HT 1-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
12.03.2023 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
06.11.2022 Ceuta Ceuta 1-2 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS3
08.05.2022 Cordoba Cordoba 3-2 HT 1-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS4
19.12.2021 Ceuta Ceuta 0-0 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
2-0
AWAY Ceuta
1.20 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
264 Passes 214
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba saw off Ceuta 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cordoba had 53% of the ball to Ceuta's 47%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.20 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cordoba had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cordoba and 1.33 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs Ceuta?

Cordoba 2-0 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 50%, draw 24%, Ceuta 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cordoba), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5
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