Sampdoria 0-1 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.74
No
49%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.15
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
21%
3.53
6+
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.75
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.73
X/2
10%
7.51
X/X
8%
4.62
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
15%
5.64
2/X
9%
13.85
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova The Market 30%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.46/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.32
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
299 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.6 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mantova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 0.91
32% Ball Possession 68%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
188 Passes 504
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2025 Mantova Mantova 2-2 HT 0-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
27.10.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
0-1
AWAY Mantova
1.07 xG 0.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 6
257 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 17
36 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Sampdoria vs Mantova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mantova squeezed past Sampdoria 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We leaned Sampdoria at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Small consolation: at 1.96 (roughly 51%) the price was further off than we were.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. At 1.74 (~57%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: Sampdoria had 45% of the ball to Mantova's 55%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.07 to 0.30 — on chances, Sampdoria could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sampdoria and 1.00 for Mantova.

Sampdoria vs Mantova Result & Final Score

Sampdoria 0-1 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sampdoria vs Mantova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 42%, draw 26%, Mantova 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sampdoria), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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