Mantova 2-2 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.49
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
20%
4.42
6+
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.96
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.51
X/2
20%
5.59
X/X
18%
3.9
2/1
10%
33.0
2/2
9%
4.04
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria The Market 38%
+25% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.51/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.40
+50% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
12.3 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.60
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
561 Passes 187
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
2-2
AWAY Sampdoria
1.06 xG 1.71
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
446 Passes 188
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova and Sampdoria shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mantova had 65% of the ball to Sampdoria's 35%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.71.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Sampdoria?

Mantova 2-2 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mantova 34%, draw 30%, Sampdoria 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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