Cesena 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.59
Over
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.44
2-3
43%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.54
6+
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.02
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.73
X/2
11%
7.11
X/X
13%
3.8
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
10%
5.71
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 The Market 30%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.19/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.28
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.8 Crosses 16.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
436 Passes 297
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
20.01.2018 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
28.08.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 3-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
11.02.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
16.09.2016 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
04.04.2016 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.36 xG 0.87
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
208 Passes 500
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cesena vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and FC Bari 1908 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cesena at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cesena had 34% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 66%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.36 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cesena and 1.33 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Cesena vs FC Bari 1908?

Cesena 1-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cesena 43%, draw 28%, FC Bari 1908 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cesena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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