Juve Stabia 2-1 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.54
Over
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.27
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
21%
4.96
6+
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
20%
4.36
X/2
7%
7.95
X/X
17%
3.71
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
9%
6.89
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese The Market 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.19/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.85
-30% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
26.0 Crosses 17.5
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Carrarese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.54 xG 0.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
304 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 0-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
2-1
AWAY Carrarese
0.71 xG 0.82
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
202 Passes 330
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia nicked a narrow win over Carrarese 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 40% of the ball to Carrarese's 60%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.71 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Carrarese?

Juve Stabia 2-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 48%, draw 29%, Carrarese 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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