Frosinone 0-3 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.56
Over
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.37
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
18%
4.7
6+
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.03
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.68
X/2
7%
7.06
X/X
13%
3.76
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
5.74
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol The Market 29%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +15%
1.36/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.99
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.9 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 0.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
443 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
22.04.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
04.12.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
12.08.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
0-3
AWAY Südtirol
0.84 xG 1.53
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
427 Passes 130
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
19 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol swept aside Frosinone 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Frosinone at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Frosinone had 70% of the ball to Südtirol's 30%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.84 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Südtirol led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Frosinone and 1.00 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Südtirol?

Frosinone 0-3 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 44%, draw 27%, Südtirol 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Frosinone), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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