Cosenza Calcio 0-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.6
Over
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.46
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
21%
4.5
6+
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.07
X/2
10%
6.4
X/X
15%
3.78
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.9
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella The Market 33%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -12%
1.42/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
-16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
23.7 Crosses 23.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Cittadella
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.77 xG 0.64
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
223 Passes 300
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
09.03.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
09.12.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 2-0 HT 2-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
15.04.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
27.11.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
06.05.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0-1
AWAY Cittadella
1.86 xG 0.38
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
339 Passes 148
75% Pass Accuracy 59%
34 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella nicked a narrow win over Cosenza Calcio 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cosenza Calcio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 65% of the ball to Cittadella's 35%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.86 to 0.38 — on chances, Cosenza Calcio could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 0.67 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Cittadella?

Cosenza Calcio 0-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 42%, draw 30%, Cittadella 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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