FC Bari 1908 1-0 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
12%
6.05
X/2
9%
6.62
X/X
13%
4.46
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.62
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.33/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.14
-15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
24.6 Crosses 13.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cesena
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
20.01.2018 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
28.08.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 3-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
11.02.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
16.09.2016 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
04.04.2016 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
15.11.2015 Cesena Cesena 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-0
AWAY Cesena
0.80 xG 1.01
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
297 Passes 436
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 edged past Cesena 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; FC Bari 1908 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 41% of the ball to Cesena's 59%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.80 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.50 for Cesena.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Cesena?

FC Bari 1908 1-0 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 40%, draw 26%, Cesena 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Bari 1908), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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