Mantova 2-3 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 7 Dec 2024

Mantova
2-3 HT 1-2
Pisa
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Mantova vs Pisa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 34% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.29
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
11%
7.96
X/2
17%
4.92
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.18
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mantova v Pisa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 49%
+17% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.05/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.76
-50% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
17.0 Crosses 26.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.8

Mantova vs Pisa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Pisa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
21.04.2009 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
14.11.2008 Mantova Mantova 2-1 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
16.02.2008 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
22.09.2007 Mantova Mantova 0-1 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB

Mantova 2-3 Pisa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
2-3
AWAY Pisa
0.90 xG 1.79
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
517 Passes 217
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa edged past Mantova 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mantova had 66% of the ball to Pisa's 34%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.90 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mantova and 1.00 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Pisa?

Mantova 2-3 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mantova 29%, draw 27%, Pisa 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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