Cosenza Calcio 0-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.54
Over 2.5
52%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
4.97
6+ Goals
11%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
9%
5.17
X/2
10%
8.24
X/X
10%
3.96
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
6.58
2/X
8%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
61%
-13.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
39%
+13.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.29/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.35
-9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.9 Crosses 18.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Frosinone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.48
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
229 Passes 380
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 0-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
29.10.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
02.03.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
16.10.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
06.03.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
20.11.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0-1
AWAY Frosinone
0.98 xG 1.52
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
472 Passes 160
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 16
41 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone nicked a narrow win over Cosenza Calcio 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cosenza Calcio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 70% of the ball to Frosinone's 30%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.98 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.00 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Frosinone?

Cosenza Calcio 0-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 42%, draw 27%, Frosinone 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✗ Over 2.5
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