Carrarese 1-0 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 36% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.47
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
13%
7.39
X/2
16%
5.39
X/X
13%
4.61
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.47
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.13/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.21
-40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.3 Crosses 19.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
1-0
AWAY Palermo
1.98 xG 1.24
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 8
279 Passes 371
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese squeezed past Palermo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Carrarese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carrarese had 43% of the ball to Palermo's 57%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.98 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Palermo?

Carrarese 1-0 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 33%, draw 28%, Palermo 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palermo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
7 Dec 2024
17:00 Modena vs Salernitana Analysis →
17:00 Mantova vs Pisa Analysis →
17:00 FC Bari 1908 vs Cesena Analysis →
19:15 Cosenza Calcio vs Frosinone Analysis →