Gubbio 3-3 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
46%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.62
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
34%
-9.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+9.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.30/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.69
+12% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +61%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ternana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Ternana Ternana 2-1 HT 2-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
07.09.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 0-0 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTC
01.08.2019 Gubbio Gubbio 2-1 HT 1-1 Ternana Ternana HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
3-3
AWAY Ternana
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio and Ternana shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ternana at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gubbio had 44% of the ball to Ternana's 56%, shots finished 9-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gubbio and 1.00 for Ternana.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Ternana?

Gubbio 3-3 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 24%, draw 30%, Ternana 46%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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